Predictions for 2nd semi final

Finally another evening of Eurovision again tonight! Approximately 21:00 CET the second semi final will begin live from Moscow. Like I did two days ago, I have again tried to put down which 10 songs I think will go through to the grand final on Saturday, based on the rehearsals for the last week or so and the way I think Europe will vote.

Almost certain qualifiers:
01. Norway (99%)
02. Azerbaijan (99%)
03. Greece (99%)
04. Ukraine (95%)

Very likely qualifiers:
05. Estonia (75%)
06. Albania (65%)
07. Moldova (60%)
08. Denmark (60%)

Just making it:
09. Serbia (55%)
10. Ireland (50%)

Just missing out:
11. Lithuania (45%)
12. Croatoa (45%)
13. Slovenia (40%)
14. Hungary (40%)

Little or no chance:
15. The Netherlands (30%)
16, Cyprus (25%)

17. Poland (25%)
18. Latvia (20%)
19. Slovakia (5%)